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Bihar Assembly Elections 2025: NDA Leads in Early Trends

Bihar Assembly Elections 2025

As of 9:30 AM IST on November 14, 2025, counting for the 243-seat Bihar Legislative Assembly is underway across 46 counting centers in 38 districts. Polling took place in two phases on November 6 and 11, witnessing a record turnout of 66.91–67.13%, the highest since 1951. Notably, women outvoted men with 71.6% female participation compared to 62.8% for males.

A total of 7.45 crore voters chose among 2,616 candidates from major alliances, smaller parties, and independents. Counting began at 8:00 AM with postal ballots, followed by EVM rounds from 8:30 AM, amid tight security, CCTV monitoring, and a three-layered protection system.


NDA Takes Early Lead, Crosses Majority Mark

Early trends from the Election Commission of India (ECI) and major news networks indicate that the National Democratic Alliance (NDA)—comprising the BJP, JD(U), HAM, LJP(RV) and others—has crossed the majority figure of 122 seats.
The opposition Mahagathbandhan (MGB/INDIA Bloc)—spearheaded by the RJD, with the Congress, Left parties, and allies like VIP—is trailing.

Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj Party (JSP) is performing modestly, defying exit poll predictions of zero impact.

No final results have been declared yet; all numbers represent early-round trends. A clearer picture is expected by afternoon.


Exit Poll Recap

Exit polls (Axis My India, Today’s Chanakya, Matze) predicted:

  • NDA: 121–209 seats
  • MGB: 32–118 seats
  • JSP: 0–5 seats

Interestingly, RJD has emerged as the single largest party in early counts, echoing its 2020 dominance (75 seats).


Early Seat Trends (Approx. 9:30 AM IST)

Aggregated from NDTV, Times Now, CNN-News18, ABP News, and India Today:

Alliance / PartyLeads / WinsHighlights
NDA (Total)81–155Clear majority; BJP leading over JD(U). Strong in Champaran & Seemanchal.
BJP29–60Leads in Rajnagar, Alinagar, Chapra, Tarapur; trailing in Siwan.
JD(U)18–40Anant Kumar Singh leading from Mokama despite recent arrest.
LJP (Ram Vilas)5Leading in Darauli, Bakhtiarpur, Fatuha, Bodh Gaya, Gobindpur.
HAM1–2Lead in Imamganj (Deepa Kumari).
MGB / INDIA Bloc39–81RJD strong but alliance slipping. Minority consolidation visible.
RJD32–58Leads in Raghopur, Raghunathpur, Mahua; Tej Pratap recovered after early trail.
Congress6–7Leads in Kutumba, Kishanganj, Kadwa, Hisua, Bikram, Karbigha.
Left Parties2–5Scattered strongholds contributing to MGB vote.
VIP0–2Contesting 15 targeted seats (Nishad-Kewat regions).
Jan Suraaj Party (JSP)2–4Surprise debut leads in Kargahar, Chanpatia.
Others (AAP, AIMIM, Independents)1–8AAP leads in Begusarai; Independents & BSP collectively ~8.

Key Leaders: Who’s Leading?

Nitish Kumar (JD(U), NDA)

NDA’s lead sets the stage for a potential 10th term for Nitish Kumar. JD(U) leaders credit welfare schemes and PM Modi’s backing.

Tejashwi Yadav (RJD, MGB CM Face)

Leading comfortably in Raghopur.
Exit polls showed 32% support for him as CM, slightly above Nitish (30%).

Chirag Paswan (LJP-RV, NDA)

Party ahead in five seats. Remains a key NDA figure.

Jitan Ram Manjhi (HAM)

Expected to retain influence with 1–2 strongholds.

Prashant Kishor (Jan Suraaj Party)

Debut performance stronger than predicted; positioned as a reformist alternative.


Major Trends, Highlights & Surprises

Key Trends

  • NDA gains driven by:
    • Upper caste consolidation (Bhumihar-Brahmin clusters)
    • Strong women-centric schemes
    • Retention of EBC support
  • MGB performing well in minority-heavy Seemanchal.
  • High youth turnout (3.7 crore Gen-Z voters), though fragmented.

Surprises

  • JSP’s unexpected early leads despite “flop” predictions.
  • AAP showing presence in Begusarai.
  • Jailed JD(U) candidate Anant Singh leading from Mokama.
  • Tej Pratap Yadav’s bounce-back in Mahua.
  • Initial RJD edge later overtaken by NDA.

Broader Context

  • NDA targeting 200+ seats post-Lok Sabha setbacks.
  • MGB campaigning heavily on employment and exam leak issues.
  • High security with international observers from 6 nations monitoring.

Note on HinduTone.com

No dedicated Bihar 2025 election article was found on the website as of this update.